IMF has warned of a 20-30% oil price spike if Iranian exports are disrupted. Forex Insight team

The IMF warned that if the West imposed financial sanctions on Iran, it would be tantamount to an oil blockade, and the shock to the market could be as bad as from Libya's revolution last year.














Iran produces 5% of global oil output. The market is already pricing in a small risk of an escalation of tensions between Iran on the one hand, and the US, Europe and Israel on the other, according to the IMF's estimates.ran is the world's fifth-largest oil producer, extracting 3.5 million barrels a day. Other members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) have some 3.8 million barrels in spare capacity that could eventually be made available. READ original BBC LINK  



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ECB has come under pressure to participate in Greece’s PSI.

ECB has come under pressure to participate in Greece’s PSI. Reports that the IMF were pushing for this has quickly been denied. The ECB has also formally rejected participating. Nevertheless, Dallar

On one hand, the ECB sovereign bond purchases provides some liquidity to the private investors who want to get rid of their exposure and improve the transmission mechanism of monetary policy (or so claim ECB officials). On the other hand, their claim to senior status (first to get their money back, not participate in PSI) dilutes other investors. The legal basis of the ECB’s claim for preferential treatment seems elusive and done largely claimed by fiat. READ ALL of ARTICLE on Creditwritedown LINK


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Easing By The ECB May Be Coming Next Month

By creating a massive incentive for European banks to buy their government’s debt issuance up to three years maturity, the new ECB leader Mario Draghi is clearly seeking to get control over the direction of Eurozone government bond yields. The dramatic decline in Eurozone bond yields up to three years suggests he is getting some traction (see Figure 1). It is also the case that absolute-return investors may be tempted to “front run” coming bond auctions if they think the ECB policy is working. On this point, market talk is focusing on an even bigger amount to be borrowed at the next 3-year longer-term refinancing operation (LTRO) due on 29 February. GREED & fear has heard guesstimates of up to €1tn!
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Everything gets worse for Euro now

As the result of the Friday the 13th downgrades, everything gets much more difficult. The slow-motion train crash of economic and monetary union (EMU) has suddenly speeded up. The place in the film where the track breaks up and the railcars spill into the ravine cannot be far away. 

LINK TO MW article ->  

The Germans become more self-righteous, because they fear that, if they stray from the path of orthodoxy, France’s fate will be theirs. The French become more fractious, the Italians more irritated, the Greeks more gruesome.

Turning the EFSF rescue fund into a usable financing vehicle will become immeasurably more challenging now that its AAA rating is melting away. 

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Recession in Germany Economy ?

JAN 11th data out of germany show that even that economic heavyweight is starting to get hit by the slowing economy.



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China Inflation Eases to 15-Month Low

China's annual inflation eased to 4.1 percent December, the lowest level in 15 months, giving the government more room to tilt economic policy away from restraining prices and towards supporting sagging growth.

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In the first few days of 2012, the US mint has already sold 4.3 million ounces in silver coins

In the first few days of 2012, the US mint has already sold 4.3 million ounces in silver coins.

US Mint Sells More Silver Than In 2011 link to full article

Wall Street Shuffle (is the Game Rigged) does the Market really know what going on!

Put it together and see. Iran gets around 70% of their income from oil related products. Trade blocks by the West basically takes food off their tables. Imagine if 70% of your income was GONE. Wouldn't you be pissed???
Look at the move. Anyone who trades Iranian oil in currency other than U.S. Dollars is on the list of renegade nations? WTF? That is insane. It's like saying you have to pay for your food with sea shells and if you don't you cannot get food again!

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Huh? When the Fed expands its balance sheet these days it’s actually bullish for the dollar!?

 

The Balance of Assets & Liabilities for Irredeemable Fiat Currencies:

The more technical reason for this dynamic is that irredeemable fiat currencies trade at perennial discounts from imagined would-be ‘pars’. Before the early 1970s there was at least some vague attempt at maintaining redemption at some specific ‘par value’. This meant that if the market were to doubt the integrity of a currency issuer then that currency would fall to a ‘discount from par’. This would invite either a correcting drain on reserves (due to redemptions at par value), an outright debasement (more snidely referred to as a ‘revaluation’) or some kind of intervention to forestall the inevitable. But since there is no clearly identifiable promised ‘par’ at present we have a scenario where currencies trade at perennial discounts to the value that would be par if redemption were to resume with immediate effect.
The above characterizes the fact that fiat currencies are promises for maybe something (but probably nothing) at perhaps some time in the future (but probably never). In this way, the dollar-backed fiat currency represents a doubly precarious asset – for it’s a promise for maybe something maybe later (but probably nothing, never) for maybe something different at perhaps some later date (but probably nothing, never)!
.

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Russia, Iran Proceed With Bilateral Trade, Drop Dollar

FOREX ARTICLE OF THE DAY

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Russian warships patrolling the eastern Mediterranean Sea have docked at Russia's naval supply facility in the Syrian port of Tartus, the private Addounia TV reported Saturday

correlation between the s&p and euro/dollar has broken down. Euro Decoupling?

FOREX INSIGHT TEAM SHARE VIDEO OF WEEK -cnbc

Shocking has been the breakup of the euro and the s&p 500 and that's exactly what has happened this week. the question now is the split temporary or will they get back together and when will they.
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UBS' Releases Most Dire Prediction To Date: Greece To Experience "Coercive" Restructuring

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"We anticipate that the crisis will deteriorate further than the stressed levels of late November
 We do not believe that Greek PSI will take place in a “voluntary” fashion but instead expect coercive restructuring of Greek debt either before or soon after the March redemption, triggering CDS contracts.- Zeohedge

Further more - "I also don't know if Portugal will stay in the euro. And if it leaves, it will be to the escudo,  Read on from source  LINK




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Trading Physical Gold: Is Gold In A Bubble?

gbi-_gold_bullion_international

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Top Ten Business & Financial News Stories of 2011. Part 2

TOP NEWS in 2011 WRAP with Part 2 as mentioned in this video clip. FOREX INSIGHTERS LIVE MORNING BROADCASTS throughout the year shared key levels in many of these events. We look forward to a very historic 2012 and your more than welcome to be part of the FOREX INSIGHTERS MORNING SESSIONS Register for a free trial access and be part of our successful trading community. CLICK TO REGISTER  

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Your Life according to the Government !

nothing will really change - it will appear to - there are too many stupid people that have been - and continue to be - brainwashed by rock/rap music, Hollywood cinema, public education and universities. Sentence I have read in a while

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IMF's warns global economy threatened

READ Reuters Article for IMF chief comments CLICK TO READ  

Comment This is a truly no-win situation which threatens over a century of social progress, unless we get our act together and develop a new form of cheap and abundant carbon-free energy. We are afforded few choices in this regard, and the current leading technological candidate is a liquid-fuel based fission reactor design based on the thorium fuel cycle. Of course, we need to come to an agreement about the source of our troubles, generate public support for a major R&D program, and then systematically transition our energy infrastructure.

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World economy to trudge on in 2012 despite Europe

Most economists base their assumptions on the hope that the euro zone's sovereign debt crisis will not boil over into a new global economic crisis, having already dented growth in major exporters to Europe. Still, most of the major emerging market economies like Brazil and China should pick up speed later next year. All of them have suffered from slowing economies in recent months, caused mainly by tightening monetary policy in the face of high inflation.

This info is shared from a article on Reuters at this link below (article of week)  How to trade the 2012 market for first part of 2012 in the currency markets effectively. Forex Insighters will share with traders in trade community in on our online trade room. register to be part of Live Broadcast Starting this week. ACCESS portal for registration FREE


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Europe to `Fall Apart' in 2012, Forex Insighters online room

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