Things to keep you on edge about the Euro this week

HOW LONG BEFORE MARKETS REALIZE THERE IS NO SPAIN SOLUTION?

What we don't know: how much Spain will get and under what conditions. Spain says it won't know until next week, and that there is a whole list of customary conditions for loans that it wants waived. That's it. We will discuss and trade to a new trend in the market going to happen this week I believe

No matter, what we already know is bad enough. There is NO funding as yet lined up for any of the maximum 100 bln euros Spain will request.

A Everyone, Spain and Germany's economic ministers, the Eurogroup, etc, agree that the funding for the rescue is to come from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and/or the EFSF.

B The treaty creating the ESM specifically says that the fund can only lend to governments (not banks) in exchange for promises of reforms. The German government has stressed on numerous occasions that it insists that this passage of the treaty is respected. Rumors are that the EU will ease up some of these, but we remain skeptical that Germany will really let these go.

 C Yet so far Spain is saying it basically wants doesn't want many obligations attached to the loan. It insists on:

• No loss of sovereignty 
• No new fiscal conditions 
• No new deficit commitment 
• No additional structural reforms 
• No IMF supervision 

D As for the EFSF, it's only got about 200 bln euros, including the now questionable 93 bln due from…Spain! That leaves about 100 bln euros, assuming the EU would agree to empty the EFSF at this time.

 E If it did, how would markets react to news that the EU bailout funds are currently empty?

As a result there is a great opportunity to trade eur/jpy this week Tune into our Daily trade room
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ECB sees 'mild recession' in eurozone

AP - article link Benoit Coeure, an ECB executive board member, told Japan's Nikkei newspaper that growth was held back by scarce bank credit and necessary government budget-cutting because of problems with debt in some eurozone countries.

He added that higher oil prices and increased value-added taxes on consumer purchases in some countries had led the bank to raise its outlook for inflation but that "insofar as they are temporary, higher energy prices should not have a lasting impact on inflation.

" Coeure said that whether inflation rose over the longer term would depend on whether higher oil prices were reflected in higher wages, creating so-called second round effects or a wage-price spiral.

He said in an interview text made public Sunday that "there are good reasons to believe that second-round effects will be limited." Coeure is one of six members of the ECB's executive board, the body that runs the bank day to day at its Frankfurt headquarters. He also sits on the 23-member governing council, which decides interest rates. Higher prices have become part of the bank's discussion of the economy in recent days thanks to higher prices for crude and an easing of the eurozone debt crisis with a successful debt reduction and second bailout for Greece.

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Oil below $100 Forex Insight Video of Day

Commodities Tomorrow: Oil Below $100 - VIDEO OF DAY FEB 1
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The Greek economy is not productive enough to generate growth

Welcome Forex Insight Community members. I ran accross this article I wanted to share with all our traders. It is a really insightful article and as we have mentioned on commentary in our Daily online room and fundamental trade courses.

Please READ ON and here is link to Spiegel
Spiegel: "Greece has been living beyond its means for years," an unpublished study by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) concludes. "The consumption of goods has exceeded economic output by far.

" Especially devastating is the assessment that the DIW experts make about the condition of an industry that is generally seen as a potential engine for growth: tourism. According to the DIW study, the Greek tourism industry concentrates on the summer months, with almost nothing happening throughout the rest of the year. There is almost no tourism in the cities, which translates into low overall capacity utilization and high costs for hotel operators. By contrast, capacity utilization in the hotel sector is much more uniform in other Mediterranean countries.  

Resistance Mounts in Berlin This also applies to Merkel's center-right coalition government in Berlin, in which the first Greece package and the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) bailout fund were already hotly contested. Since then, resistance to additional German aid for debt-ridden countries has only grown. "Greece would be the most difficult decision by far for the parliamentary group," says Florian Toncar, the FDP's deputy parliamentary leader, who is a member of the party's pro-European wing. It is already clear that significantly more parliamentarians will refuse to go along with their leadership in the future.

comments and how to trade this news this week link below

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ECB has come under pressure to participate in Greece’s PSI.

ECB has come under pressure to participate in Greece’s PSI. Reports that the IMF were pushing for this has quickly been denied. The ECB has also formally rejected participating. Nevertheless, Dallar

On one hand, the ECB sovereign bond purchases provides some liquidity to the private investors who want to get rid of their exposure and improve the transmission mechanism of monetary policy (or so claim ECB officials). On the other hand, their claim to senior status (first to get their money back, not participate in PSI) dilutes other investors. The legal basis of the ECB’s claim for preferential treatment seems elusive and done largely claimed by fiat. READ ALL of ARTICLE on Creditwritedown LINK


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correlation between the s&p and euro/dollar has broken down. Euro Decoupling?

FOREX INSIGHT TEAM SHARE VIDEO OF WEEK -cnbc

Shocking has been the breakup of the euro and the s&p 500 and that's exactly what has happened this week. the question now is the split temporary or will they get back together and when will they.
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KEY currecency pairs to trade
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USD/CAD
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Commodities Outlook for 2012

Forex Insight Group video clip of the day, Where will commodities be in mid 2012

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Morning Session Trade of day Nov 18th snap shot with Forex Insighters

Patiently all traders were this morning with Forex insighters Chief Traders Alvaro Mendez waiting on just scalp trades this morning. All traders jumped in and made on avg 12 pips on this trade. Chief Alvaro Mendez made it clear this morning would be solely short term trading for the Morning session Nov 18th. Here is a screen shot of one of our trades Live in this morning sessions JOIN us TRADING sessions MORNINGs 8am est MON-FRI http://bit.ly/fYyUpE

Eur Drops to 1.3680 as ECB Pres Draghi makes comments

This morning trade on eur/usd after Mario Draghi made some commentary euro really took a dive. Here is a snapshot of our trader as 70% of traders joined from 1.3818 and as Levels of 1.3720 were expected as mentioned from Chief Trader traders waited and took profits at that level. Others traders waited for second target of 1.3680 Trade room Access for morning sessions http://bit.ly/fYyUpE

TRADE OF DAY FOREX INSIGHTERS (trading sessions)

TRADE OF DAY IN MORNING SESSION (SCALPING) TECHNIQUE This morning Chief Trader shared scalp trde set up on aud/usd and eur/usd as market came to close EU summit commentary by Chief about key level to be tested on aud/usd and eur/usd key levels. Chieft traders then today had a 45 min question and answer session in todays class. Here is a snapshot of aud/usd scalp trde. BE PART OF SUNDAY OPENING MARKET SESSION AS EU SUMMIT PART 1 ON EURO CRISIS. ACCESS TO ONLINE CONFERENCE USE THIS LINK FOR ACCESS Confident trades THE FOREX INSIGHTERS GROUP http://forexinsighters.com 786-294-5785