FX Insight views on the Eur/Jpy

FOREX INSIGHT OUTLOOK on EUR/JPY

 What we are expecting in this pair is a move to test the trend on this Daily chart from low of Jan 16 2012 to June 1 2012. Trade leaders are looking for a some great scalp opportunities in this area of 95.15. The over plan is to catch the Eur/Jpy as we forecast the Eur/Jpy bounce higher to 96.40. What we are looking at is a decent bounce on Eur/Jpy toward higher levels as market rumors on the euro will have the currency move on the dollar and the yen. Also even still if the eur/jpy is to follow the eur/usd to the abyss (1.1660) as Spain troubles plus 10yr yields on Italy we still need to see one more bounce to (96.40-60) before a another strong fall such as example from April to June of this year.

In conclusion we will not be taking any entries on eur/jpy until she does reach the trend line market. In the event she breaks away here to lower levels we will just work the retracement after the fall. Play is safe as always in the Forex Insight Group.
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5 things to look for that will Impact Silver

Wealth Wire - The largest silver producing mine in the world is the Cannington mine in Australia. Silver production at Cannington declined from 38.6 million oz in 2010, to only 32.2 million oz in 2011. The Fresnillo mine, which is the second highest silver producer in the world, saw its output drop from 35.9 million oz in 2010 down to 30.3 million oz in 2011.

For sake of clarity, Fresnillo plc is the name of the largest primary silver mining company in the world that operates several gold and silver projects. Fresnillo is also the name of its largest silver mine. Cannington’s silver ore grades fell from 453 g/t (grams per ton) at year end in 2010 to an average of only 352 g/t compared to the same period in 2011. This damage of declining ore grades becomes even more apparent when we look at the total amount of ore milled each year. In 2010, Cannington milled a total of 3,075,000 tonnes of ore compared to 3,213,000 tonnes in 2011. Even with a small increase in total milled ore in 2011 over 2010; Cannington’s silver production decreased 16.5%.

 IN THE END There is a war going between those who favor gold-silver and others who are clinging onto the last remnants of the US Dollar. The tactics utilized by the fiat monetary authorities in this campaign have been strategic dumping of massive gold and silver contracts, as well as the control of market sentiment by negative hit pieces put out by MSM analysts. While the conspiracy to manipulate the precious metal markets is more than likely being accomplished by only a select few, the majority of the damage is taking place in computer algorithm trading programs and through clueless analysts who get paid to regurgitate the information that is spoon-fed to them.
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Mar 23 Trade of Day Usd/Jpy Forex Training sessions

 


Chief Trader Alvaro Mendez take an advanced trade on the (82.36) USD/JPY for 8 points. Chief Al is able to recognize an advanced trade set up by analyzing Forex Insight trading methods. Market actions set up this week allows Alvaro to anticipate downward market momentum has stalled and will need to come up for air before continuing lower.

The Traders that followed Alvaro in the online room and in office moved on to complete trade with removing second set of fills at +20 and +29. Learn how to trade the Forex Market Successfully and to spot trading opportunities to consistently profit in the Forex market with Forex Online Training School LIVE ACCESS Courses now registering TRADE ROOM ACCESS PASS 

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Why it's better to own the euro than the US dollar Shorting the dollar could be considered.

from seeking alpha auther site There are many reasons why a currency goes up or down. Following list gives the most important ones:

Current account balance of the country
Total national debt of the country
Inflation rate
Interest rate

If the current account balance of the country is positive, a country will export more than it imports. As the population of the country exports more, they will receive more foreign money. This money will then be converted into their own currency, which is then spent or put in their banks. As the foreign money is converted into the money of the country's population their own currency will appreciate in value.

The larger the national debt of the country, the more expensive it will be to sell debt to foreigners. The government will then be obliged to monetize this debt to keep interest rates low and to be able to service this debt. Rising debt load will therefore devalue the currency.

The higher the inflation rate, the lower the currency will go. An example is Vietnam, where the dong lost much of its value due to high inflation.

When interest rates are lower than the inflation rate, there is no incentive for foreigners to buy why it's better to own the euro than the US dollar. There is a consequence to a lower currency value.


Very important aspects to look at when placing the US dollar against the EURO :




Let's look at the statistics:

1) Current account

The GDP of the US ($US 14,5 trillion) and the eurozone ($US 16 trillion) are approximately the same, so we can compare the current account balances of the two countries.

The current account deficit of the US is in the order of $US 110 billion per quarter, which amounts to $US 450 billion per year (2011).

For the Eurozone, the 12-month cumulated seasonally adjusted current account recorded a deficit of EUR 44.9 billion.

So in this case, the eurozone is the winner. Europe VS USA: 1-0.

Euro Area Current Account (Millions of EUR)

US Current Account (Billions of USD)

2) Total National Debt

Total US national debt is $US 15.5 trillion. Total eurozone national debt to GDP is 85%, which translates to $US 13.6 trillion. So again, Europe wins by a small margin. Europe VS USA: 2-0.

3) Inflation Rate

The inflation rate in the Eurozone is 2.6%, while the inflation rate in the US is 2.9%. And since we all know the US federal reserve is lying about inflation, the eurozone wins this one by a big margin. Europe VS USA: 3-0.

4) Interest Rate

The interest rate in the Eurozone is 1%, while the interest rate in the US is essentially zero. What's new, the euro wins again. Europe VS USA: 4-0 FOREX INSIGHT TEAM http://forexinsighters.com 305-6299490

Fed Bernanke refrains from signaling QE3

(Reuters) - The dollar gained against the euro and yen on Wednesday as factors ranging from month-end positioning to a European Central Bank cash infusion and lowered expectations of another Federal Reserve bond-buying binge raised the greenback's appeal. Robust U.S. data, which typically increases risk appetite, favored the dollar versus the euro as it highlighted a growing disparity between the economies on both sides of the Atlantic.

Ongoing financial strains in Europe prompted the ECB to infuse over a half a billion euros into financial markets. "The ECB's auction in some ways could be interpreted as form of quantitative easing," said Charles St-Arnaud, foreign exchange strategist at Nomura Securities in New York. link to full article on REUTERS

Tomorrow in the online traders room we will be looking for some nice range trades as this Dollar gain should some correction. Key level on usd/jpy in particular is what I will be looking to enter in. JOIN US TOMORROW March 1st ---------95% of people trading lose money, but not if you know what you are doing. Become successful and join the Group of 5% of Successful trader. Forex Insight Team can teach YOU to become within the 5% minority of people who are making money.

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Jim Rogers: I Would Not Buy Facebook

“No, that kind of stock I don’t buy. They are usually very, very expensive. A lot of people like to buy expensive stocks like that, but I do not,” said Rogers, a widely followed investor who has published several books on investing, co-founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros,

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Oil below $100 Forex Insight Video of Day

Commodities Tomorrow: Oil Below $100 - VIDEO OF DAY FEB 1
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The Greek economy is not productive enough to generate growth

Welcome Forex Insight Community members. I ran accross this article I wanted to share with all our traders. It is a really insightful article and as we have mentioned on commentary in our Daily online room and fundamental trade courses.

Please READ ON and here is link to Spiegel
Spiegel: "Greece has been living beyond its means for years," an unpublished study by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) concludes. "The consumption of goods has exceeded economic output by far.

" Especially devastating is the assessment that the DIW experts make about the condition of an industry that is generally seen as a potential engine for growth: tourism. According to the DIW study, the Greek tourism industry concentrates on the summer months, with almost nothing happening throughout the rest of the year. There is almost no tourism in the cities, which translates into low overall capacity utilization and high costs for hotel operators. By contrast, capacity utilization in the hotel sector is much more uniform in other Mediterranean countries.  

Resistance Mounts in Berlin This also applies to Merkel's center-right coalition government in Berlin, in which the first Greece package and the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) bailout fund were already hotly contested. Since then, resistance to additional German aid for debt-ridden countries has only grown. "Greece would be the most difficult decision by far for the parliamentary group," says Florian Toncar, the FDP's deputy parliamentary leader, who is a member of the party's pro-European wing. It is already clear that significantly more parliamentarians will refuse to go along with their leadership in the future.

comments and how to trade this news this week link below

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Today the US debt target is $16.394 trillion - Forex Insight online room

The US debt target is $16.394 trillion, a number which will be breached before the end of the year, and possibly before the presidential election in November. As a reminder, in 2011, the US economy grew by 1.7%. It almost, but not quite, offset the growth of US debt held by the public, which grew at a brisk 11.3% pace in the past year...

Huh? When the Fed expands its balance sheet these days it’s actually bullish for the dollar!?

 

The Balance of Assets & Liabilities for Irredeemable Fiat Currencies:

The more technical reason for this dynamic is that irredeemable fiat currencies trade at perennial discounts from imagined would-be ‘pars’. Before the early 1970s there was at least some vague attempt at maintaining redemption at some specific ‘par value’. This meant that if the market were to doubt the integrity of a currency issuer then that currency would fall to a ‘discount from par’. This would invite either a correcting drain on reserves (due to redemptions at par value), an outright debasement (more snidely referred to as a ‘revaluation’) or some kind of intervention to forestall the inevitable. But since there is no clearly identifiable promised ‘par’ at present we have a scenario where currencies trade at perennial discounts to the value that would be par if redemption were to resume with immediate effect.
The above characterizes the fact that fiat currencies are promises for maybe something (but probably nothing) at perhaps some time in the future (but probably never). In this way, the dollar-backed fiat currency represents a doubly precarious asset – for it’s a promise for maybe something maybe later (but probably nothing, never) for maybe something different at perhaps some later date (but probably nothing, never)!
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shared article with Forex Insight Team  link to full origin  

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Top Ten Business & Financial News Stories of 2011. Part 2

TOP NEWS in 2011 WRAP with Part 2 as mentioned in this video clip. FOREX INSIGHTERS LIVE MORNING BROADCASTS throughout the year shared key levels in many of these events. We look forward to a very historic 2012 and your more than welcome to be part of the FOREX INSIGHTERS MORNING SESSIONS Register for a free trial access and be part of our successful trading community. CLICK TO REGISTER  

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Your Life according to the Government !

nothing will really change - it will appear to - there are too many stupid people that have been - and continue to be - brainwashed by rock/rap music, Hollywood cinema, public education and universities. Sentence I have read in a while

Visit us Live FOREX INSIGHTERS Traders Broadcast week days 7am US est Learn to trade Forex like a Pro with our Free Training Program and live market commentary /news.  You will learn How to trade with our Powerful, Trading Strategies and Benefit from our Unique Mental Training approach. It's the Accelerated Approach to a Successful Forex Trading Career! You'll also have the Opportunity to trade for our Retail and Institutional Clients as a Forex Money Manager. Day Trade Forex Live posts daily 'live' forex trades. The signals are on 3 pairs, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and eur/jpy. Both the London and New York sessions are covered. All posts include SL and TP and are adjusted accordingly when necessary with all adjustments posted live. There will be a few minutes delay between trades being made and posted. For details on full access to our Live Trading/Training Room please request details by contacting us through LINK
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World economy to trudge on in 2012 despite Europe

Most economists base their assumptions on the hope that the euro zone's sovereign debt crisis will not boil over into a new global economic crisis, having already dented growth in major exporters to Europe. Still, most of the major emerging market economies like Brazil and China should pick up speed later next year. All of them have suffered from slowing economies in recent months, caused mainly by tightening monetary policy in the face of high inflation.

This info is shared from a article on Reuters at this link below (article of week)  How to trade the 2012 market for first part of 2012 in the currency markets effectively. Forex Insighters will share with traders in trade community in on our online trade room. register to be part of Live Broadcast Starting this week. ACCESS portal for registration FREE


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Commodities Outlook for 2012

Forex Insight Group video clip of the day, Where will commodities be in mid 2012

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Jobless Claims Drop Again; GDP Growth Slows to 1.8%

Interesting moves in the market this morning as this Data was released