Update on Eur/Jpy Fx insight shares

The EURJPY has been in a sideways up and down market of late/even today. Earlier the price fell toward the 38.2% line at 97.841 (of the move up from August 10th) and floor support at 97.956 (see chart above). The low came in at 97.877. The price rotated higher from there and over the last 7 bars, the close has remained above the 100 hour MA (blue line in the chart above). This is the line in the sand for buyers now. On the topside, the last 4 days has found willing sellers against the 98.807 level. Needless to say, a move above this level will now be eyed by the longs from below. Get above, and the 99.02 and the 99.164 (high from last week) become the next targets (see chart above). full article  

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FX Insight views on the Eur/Jpy

FOREX INSIGHT OUTLOOK on EUR/JPY

 What we are expecting in this pair is a move to test the trend on this Daily chart from low of Jan 16 2012 to June 1 2012. Trade leaders are looking for a some great scalp opportunities in this area of 95.15. The over plan is to catch the Eur/Jpy as we forecast the Eur/Jpy bounce higher to 96.40. What we are looking at is a decent bounce on Eur/Jpy toward higher levels as market rumors on the euro will have the currency move on the dollar and the yen. Also even still if the eur/jpy is to follow the eur/usd to the abyss (1.1660) as Spain troubles plus 10yr yields on Italy we still need to see one more bounce to (96.40-60) before a another strong fall such as example from April to June of this year.

In conclusion we will not be taking any entries on eur/jpy until she does reach the trend line market. In the event she breaks away here to lower levels we will just work the retracement after the fall. Play is safe as always in the Forex Insight Group.
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Silver Canary in the Forex Mine

As Forex Traders, we are always looking for exceptional opportunities to profit on with which to constantly grow our accounts and asset column of our balance sheets. If you've attended our online trade room, you've surely heard various discussions regarding some of the most hotly traded commodities and on good grounds. For instance, Silver's latest COT(Commitment of Traders) CFTC release, dated June 26, 2012, confirms silver's speculative positions at some of the lowest levels not seen since 2003. If you've been watching these markets for the past number of years, you'll be familiar with who had what speculative positions and why they've closed them rather recently. Silver is one of the most heavily traded commodities and is it just a simple coincidence that Bear Stearns went belly up the exact same day Silver hit a multi decade high back in March 2008? I don't think so.

  Please take a look at the attached 10 year chart of Silver and identify which trend lines start to converge around election time later this year. Think about Silver in 2003, where was its price action at? Now, what repercussions will the LIE-bor-gate scandal have on credit markets? What does JP Morgan's $9 Billion Loss mean for regulators? Will the FDIC quasi-re-monetize Gold as a 0% Risk weighted asset under some new collateral rules? Will the Fed be forced to do QE3 in the near future once Europe's Bailout High wears off? Will Germany demand Gold as collateral for its participation in the Euro Redemption Fund? I'm not sure what may happen in any of these situations, but I do know one thing. My Forex account will grow then so will my physical silver count. I'm looking for continued Risk/Euro off in the market with large retracements up until we have further Central Bank Intervention. Fun times my friends.. Fun times..

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Things to keep you on edge about the Euro this week

HOW LONG BEFORE MARKETS REALIZE THERE IS NO SPAIN SOLUTION?

What we don't know: how much Spain will get and under what conditions. Spain says it won't know until next week, and that there is a whole list of customary conditions for loans that it wants waived. That's it. We will discuss and trade to a new trend in the market going to happen this week I believe

No matter, what we already know is bad enough. There is NO funding as yet lined up for any of the maximum 100 bln euros Spain will request.

A Everyone, Spain and Germany's economic ministers, the Eurogroup, etc, agree that the funding for the rescue is to come from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and/or the EFSF.

B The treaty creating the ESM specifically says that the fund can only lend to governments (not banks) in exchange for promises of reforms. The German government has stressed on numerous occasions that it insists that this passage of the treaty is respected. Rumors are that the EU will ease up some of these, but we remain skeptical that Germany will really let these go.

 C Yet so far Spain is saying it basically wants doesn't want many obligations attached to the loan. It insists on:

• No loss of sovereignty 
• No new fiscal conditions 
• No new deficit commitment 
• No additional structural reforms 
• No IMF supervision 

D As for the EFSF, it's only got about 200 bln euros, including the now questionable 93 bln due from…Spain! That leaves about 100 bln euros, assuming the EU would agree to empty the EFSF at this time.

 E If it did, how would markets react to news that the EU bailout funds are currently empty?

As a result there is a great opportunity to trade eur/jpy this week Tune into our Daily trade room
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Greek politicians traded insults and accusations following new talks with President Karolos Papoulias - Forex Insight

Europe is keeping a nervous eye on Greece, fearing that the political chaos there could lead to defaults on debt that could threaten the future of the euro. Greek failure -- or refusal -- to make debt payments could hurt banks across Europe. The talks with Papoulias came a week after elections in which angry voters punished mainstream parties by backing a range of fringe groups.

If no government can be cobbled together by May 17, new elections must be called. They would take place next month. Papoulias said he hoped he could help form a unity government, adding that "things in Greece are quite difficult" -- but things only looked more difficult after Sunday's talks.

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Forex Insight: Euro worst against Dollar sense December

Reuters- The euro failed to gain traction despite signs the U.S. economic recovery was losing momentum, raising the possibility of further U.S. central bank monetary easing. Data on U.S. spending and business activity in the Midwest reinforced that view.

In afternoon New York trading, the euro fell 0.2 percent to $1.3228 against the dollar, with investors wary of pushing it back toward a near 1-month high of $1.3270 reached on Friday. However, it stayed just above support at its 55-day moving average at about $1.3205. On the month, the euro was down 0.9 percent, its worst performance since December last year.

 The euro, however, has not closed below $1.30 or above $1.35 since January 20

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Euro hit 2-week highs against the dollar 4/20 - Forex Insight

NEWS HEADLINES Apr 20th reuters - The euro got a boost after a Group of 20 official said the G20 would pledge to increase the International Monetary Fund's resources by more than $400 billion to fight the European debt crisis.

 Spanish 10-year government bond yields, however, topped 6 percent for a third time this week, which could keep the euro constrained within the $1.30-$1.32 range.

There's a lot of talk about the IMF and the G20 and the possibility it will get increased. Most analysts, however, expect the euro to remain range bound ahead of Sunday's first round of the French vote, but financial markets were nervous the policies espoused by the expected eventual winner, Socialist Francois Hollande, could be detrimental to the economy. full article at reuters -- click to view


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The dollar turned higher against the euro after comments from Federal Reserve

AP - Good news for the dollar. Bond buying lowers interest rates and increases money supply. With more money in circulation, the value of the dollar that traders are holding decreases. The lower interest rates would make the dollar less attractive than other currencies that have higher interest rates.
The euro fell to $1.3337 in late trading Wednesday from $1.3459 late Tuesday.
Before Bernanke spoke, the euro rose against the dollar after the European Central Bank said it made $712.4 billion in low-interest loans to banks. The dollar rose to 81.18 Japanese yen from 80.55 yen and to 0.9039 Swiss franc from 0.8954 Swiss franc. AP link 95% of people trading lose money, but not if you know what you are doing. Become successful and join the Group of 5% of Successful trader. Forex Insight Team can teach YOU to become within the 5% minority of people who are making money.

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European sovereign yields are mixed, with Greece and Portuguese bonds still under pressure

 The Street - The euro had tested the upper end of its recent range in Asia, setting a new high for the week, but unable to absorb the large offers around $1.35. It came off after the LTRO results, but initial support in the $1.3420 area held. Additional support is seen near Tuesday's low. Sterling is benefiting from the combination of better domestic data and technical momentum after recently breaking through its 200-day moving average.

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EU wants to take control of Greece's budget - 2nd Greek Bailout 145 Billion euros

from Spiegel:  
The situation in Athens is more dramatic: the EU wants to take control of Greece's budget, the rescue package for the ailing state amounts to SPIEGEL information on 145 instead of 130 billion euros.

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The situation in Athens is more dramatic: the EU wants to take control of Greece's budget, the rescue package for the ailing state amounts to SPIEGEL information on 145 instead of 130 billion euros. In Berlin, formed a broad resistance to further aid.

It's like a bottomless pit: the planned emergency measures for Greece are not enough to lead the country out of crisis. According to the troika of the EU Commission, European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, the country still needs one additional 15 billion euros. Instead of 130 billion euros, as yet decided in late October last year, would be about 145 billion euros due, according to SPIEGEL information in the Troika, which started recently, her work in Athens again.

In the Berlon Coalition is forming, however, resistance to further Griechlandhilfen , as it has brought, among other things, the EU Commission comes into play. "At our attitude has not changed," said CSU leader Horst Seehofer in Der Spiegel. "For reform standstill, there is no money." The CSU reject new aid for Greece over the programs adopted out, Seehofer said. "If the Greeks do not implement the reform programs, it can give no further assistance."

German political support for a Greek bailout is next to zero: LINK to article on ZH

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Easing By The ECB May Be Coming Next Month

By creating a massive incentive for European banks to buy their government’s debt issuance up to three years maturity, the new ECB leader Mario Draghi is clearly seeking to get control over the direction of Eurozone government bond yields. The dramatic decline in Eurozone bond yields up to three years suggests he is getting some traction (see Figure 1). It is also the case that absolute-return investors may be tempted to “front run” coming bond auctions if they think the ECB policy is working. On this point, market talk is focusing on an even bigger amount to be borrowed at the next 3-year longer-term refinancing operation (LTRO) due on 29 February. GREED & fear has heard guesstimates of up to €1tn!
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Trading Physical Gold: Is Gold In A Bubble?

gbi-_gold_bullion_international

Happy New Year to all on this first day of January, 2012! This is the 1st installment (of 5) of my interview of the CEO of GBI (Gold Bullion International) Must view all great interview
PART 2
PART 3
PART 4

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TRADE OF DAY FOREX INSIGHTERS (trading sessions)

TRADE OF DAY IN MORNING SESSION (SCALPING) TECHNIQUE This morning Chief Trader shared scalp trde set up on aud/usd and eur/usd as market came to close EU summit commentary by Chief about key level to be tested on aud/usd and eur/usd key levels. Chieft traders then today had a 45 min question and answer session in todays class. Here is a snapshot of aud/usd scalp trde. BE PART OF SUNDAY OPENING MARKET SESSION AS EU SUMMIT PART 1 ON EURO CRISIS. ACCESS TO ONLINE CONFERENCE USE THIS LINK FOR ACCESS Confident trades THE FOREX INSIGHTERS GROUP http://forexinsighters.com 786-294-5785